Vllaznia Shkoder 0-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vllaznia Shkoder EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vllaznia Shkoder
0-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vllaznia Shkoder vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils squeezed past Vllaznia Shkoder 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Vllaznia Shkoder carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vllaznia Shkoder had 71% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 29%, shots finished 12-2.

What was the final score of Vllaznia Shkoder vs BFC Daugavpils?

Vllaznia Shkoder 0-1 BFC Daugavpils in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vllaznia Shkoder vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vllaznia Shkoder win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vllaznia Shkoder 58%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vllaznia Shkoder) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vllaznia Shkoder) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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