Crawley Town 2-1 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.35
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
9%
8.26
X/2
11%
4.02
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.37
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 57%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.48/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.91
+36% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
243 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
Crosses 21.7
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Blackpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
07.02.2017 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
01.10.2016 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
2-1
AWAY Blackpool
1.06 xG 1.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
379 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 39
5 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town edged past Blackpool 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 53% of the ball to Blackpool's 47%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.06 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Blackpool.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crawley Town and 0.00 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Blackpool?

Crawley Town 2-1 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 28%, draw 25%, Blackpool 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ BTTS No
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