Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.75/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/1.34
-41% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-4 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.03.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
3-1
AWAY Nürnberg II
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg beat Nürnberg II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Aschaffenburg had 39% of the ball to Nürnberg II's 61%, shots finished 9-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 2.33 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Nürnberg II?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 28%, draw 22%, Nürnberg II 50%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
10 Aug 2024
14:00 Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena Analysis →
14:00 BFC Dynamo vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:30 Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Trier vs FC Giessen Analysis →
15:00 Lehnerz vs Astoria Walldorf Analysis →
15:00 Bahlinger SC vs Göppinger SV Analysis →