Nürnberg II 4-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.44/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +55%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-4 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.03.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
26.10.2019 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-3 HT 2-2 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg II
4-1
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II swept aside Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nürnberg II had 58% of the ball to Viktoria Aschaffenburg's 42%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.83 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Nürnberg II 4-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 48%, draw 25%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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