Metta / LU Riga 2-4 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
66%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
4%
+13.4pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.7pp
66%
Away Win
88%
-21.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 94%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
0.74/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.66
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +58%
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
225 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 85%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.5
12.3 Crosses 31.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.57 xG 2.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
242 Passes 401
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 56
13 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 5-0 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
21.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
03.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga HAZ
05.11.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
13.08.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
04.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
2-4
AWAY Riga FC
0.94 xG 3.26
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
230 Passes 597
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 70
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of Metta / LU Riga 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 32% of the ball to Riga FC's 68%, shots finished 11-28, expected goals 0.94 to 3.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.33 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC?

Metta / LU Riga 2-4 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 18%, draw 16%, Riga FC 66%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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