Crystal Palace 2-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Community Shield, 10 Aug 2025

Crystal Palace
2-2 HT 1-2
Liverpool
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Community Shield – 2025/2026

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
14%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
20.25
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
8%
10.0
X/2
16%
4.45
X/X
8%
6.04
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.09
2/X
8%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.25 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
58%
Away Win
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
– Crosses 23.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Liverpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.76
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
200 Passes 579
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
05.10.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.04.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
09.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
25.02.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
15.08.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP

Crystal Palace 2-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
2-2
AWAY Liverpool
2.07 xG 1.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
282 Passes 459
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace and Liverpool couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Liverpool carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 41% of the ball to Liverpool's 59%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Crystal Palace and 0.83 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Crystal Palace 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Community Shield on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 20%, draw 22%, Liverpool 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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