Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.19
4-5 Goals
30%
2.38
6+ Goals
14%
4.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.3pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
2.38/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.72
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
530 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.7 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.64 xG 1.09
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
588 Passes 205
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.04.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
09.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
25.02.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
15.08.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
15.07.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
2.14 xG 1.77
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 0
549 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool and Crystal Palace shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Liverpool had 69% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 31%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.14 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool and 0.50 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 54%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
25 May 2025
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