Newcastle United 0-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 May 2025

Newcastle United
0-1 HT 0-0
Everton
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.97
4-5 Goals
21%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.17 — our 25% vs market 14.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
2.01/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.94
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.2 Crosses 13.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Newcastle United vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Everton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
401 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
02.04.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.12.2023 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
27.04.2023 Everton Everton 1-4 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
19.10.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
17.03.2022 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Newcastle United 0-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
0-1
AWAY Everton
1.27 xG 1.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
461 Passes 224
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton edged past Newcastle United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle United at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Newcastle United had 65% of the ball to Everton's 35%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.27 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newcastle United and 1.00 for Everton.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Everton?

Newcastle United 0-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 57%, draw 21%, Everton 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
25 May 2025
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