Norrköping 0-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.33
Over Pick
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.95
2-3
40%
1.97
4-5
27%
2.82
6+
13%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.57
1/2
9%
19.7
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
8%
10.4
X/2
9%
4.35
X/X
9%
6.37
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
34%
2.01
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.7 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-4.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.10/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.11
+34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
14.8 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hammarby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.30
39% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 455
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 1-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.09.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
12.05.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
30.07.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
04.05.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
05.09.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 4-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
0-2
AWAY Hammarby
0.68 xG 1.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 10
237 Passes 451
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 38
20 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Norrköping 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Norrköping had 37% of the ball to Hammarby's 63%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.68 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Norrköping and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Hammarby?

Norrköping 0-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 26%, draw 21%, Hammarby 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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