FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.90/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.87
+22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 3-3 HT 2-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
17.11.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
25.09.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
10.09.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
09.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
25.07.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk and Lokomotiv Gomel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Gomel at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 0.83 for Lokomotiv Gomel.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 29%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Gomel 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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