Aucas 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.44/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
+42% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.5 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
248 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
18.08.2024 Aucas Aucas 0-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 1-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
14.08.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.03.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
07.08.2022 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
1.27 xG 0.74
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
118 Passes 374
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aucas vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aucas had 30% of the ball to LDU Quito's 70%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.27 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aucas and 1.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Aucas vs LDU Quito?

Aucas 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aucas 34%, draw 24%, LDU Quito 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
10 Aug 2025
03:00 Manta vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →
21:00 Cuniburo FC vs Tecnico Universitario Analysis →
23:30 Macara vs Delfin Analysis →