LDU Quito vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
4-4
HT 1-2
Aucas
EKV1
LDU Quito 3-1 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito got the better of Aucas 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, LDU Quito had 45% of the ball to Aucas's 55%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.12 to 2.09 — on chances, Aucas could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LDU Quito and 1.33 for Aucas.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Aucas?
LDU Quito 3-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 53%, draw 22%, Aucas 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.