Daejeon Citizen 3-2 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.44
X/2
13%
6.31
X/X
8%
5.0
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
17%
4.13
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.05/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.95
-26% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.5 Crosses 17.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
407 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 3-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
02.03.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
10.08.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
29.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
14.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
22.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3-2
AWAY Suwon City
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
385 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen squeezed past Suwon City 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 60% of the ball to Suwon City's 40%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.33 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Suwon City?

Daejeon Citizen 3-2 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 35%, draw 24%, Suwon City 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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