Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.1
6+ Goals
12%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.25
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.65
X/2
9%
6.3
X/X
9%
3.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
2/2
14%
5.15
2/X
7%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.00/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
-30% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.2 Crosses 12.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
281 Passes 419
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.03.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
13.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
17.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.12.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Gwangju
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
501 Passes 345
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Gwangju 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 58% of the ball to Gwangju's 42%, shots finished 13-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.83 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 48%, draw 24%, Gwangju 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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