Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.45/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.17
+31% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 18.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
369 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
03.11.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
12.05.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.07.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.10.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
1-2
AWAY Mito HollyHock
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
418 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock edged past Montedio Yamagata 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mito HollyHock as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 59% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 41%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.17 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock?

Montedio Yamagata 1-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 32%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ BTTS Yes
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