Mito HollyHock 1-0 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.35/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.17
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
322 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
12.05.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.07.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
02.04.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
09.10.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
12.06.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-0
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
334 Passes 363
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock edged past Montedio Yamagata 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Mito HollyHock made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 47% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 53%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.67 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Montedio Yamagata?

Mito HollyHock 1-0 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 35%, draw 25%, Montedio Yamagata 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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