Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒07:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.91
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.06
-20% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
590 Passes 278
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 2-0 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
12.06.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JPK
24.03.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
25.06.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 1-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
04.03.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
18.09.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
410 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis edged past Vegalta Sendai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tokushima Vortis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 51% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.50 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Vegalta Sendai?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 39%, draw 28%, Vegalta Sendai 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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