Budafoki MTE 0-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.26
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 0-2 Ajka Ajka MAC2
22.09.2024 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 1-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
04.02.2024 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 2-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
06.08.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
11.12.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
31.07.2022 Ajka Ajka 3-0 HT 3-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka squeezed past Budafoki MTE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ajka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Budafoki MTE and 2.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Ajka?

Budafoki MTE 0-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budafoki MTE win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 38%, draw 29%, Ajka 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Budafoki MTE), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budafoki MTE) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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