Sporting Cristal vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal squeezed past Melgar 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 45% of the ball to Melgar's 55%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.69 to 1.21 — on chances, Melgar could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.33 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Melgar?
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 56%, draw 25%, Melgar 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.