Znicz Pruszkow 1-4 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.74/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.80
+53% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 HT 2-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
19.07.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
01.04.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
16.09.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-1 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
11.03.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL2
11.08.2022 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
1-4
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa ran out comfortable winners over Znicz Pruszkow 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Warszawa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 48% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 52%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 0.33 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Znicz Pruszkow 1-4 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 29%, draw 22%, Polonia Warszawa 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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