Cerro 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.01/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.75
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
20.10.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
19.04.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
07.12.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
25.06.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
16.05.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-2
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over Cerro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro had 47% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 53%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 0.67 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Cerro 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cerro 24%, draw 31%, Racing Club Montevideo 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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