Carabobo 1-0 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
12%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
12%
Away Win
15%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -24%
1.23/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.49
-6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.2 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zamora
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
371 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2025 Zamora Zamora 0-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
04.09.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
17.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 3-1 HT 2-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
30.09.2023 Zamora Zamora 0-2 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
13.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.10.2022 Zamora Zamora 1-4 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Zamora
2.40 xG 0.03
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 1
439 Passes 146
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
38 Box Touches 4
32 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo edged past Zamora 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Carabobo had 68% of the ball to Zamora's 32%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 2.40 to 0.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Carabobo's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Carabobo and 0.67 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Zamora?

Carabobo 1-0 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 63%, draw 25%, Zamora 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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