Forest Green Rovers 3-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.25
X/1
12%
3.77
X/2
7%
12.15
X/X
10%
6.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
9%
9.26
2/X
5%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Forest Green Rovers win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.09/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.79
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers cruised past AFC Fylde 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 53% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 47%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs AFC Fylde?

Forest Green Rovers 3-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 58%, draw 21%, AFC Fylde 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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