Valour 1-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
36%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.59
6+ Goals
7%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.7pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.5pp
36%
Away Win
50%
-14.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -71% / -71%
0.82/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.59
+14% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -72%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
17.8 Crosses 7.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
09.06.2024 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
05.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 2-0 Valour Valour CAPL
24.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
19.08.2023 Valour Valour 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
09.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.42 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 396
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valour vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour and Atletico Ottawa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 36% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Valour had 48% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 52%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.42 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valour and 1.83 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Valour vs Atletico Ottawa?

Valour 1-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valour 29%, draw 36%, Atletico Ottawa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (29/36/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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