KuPS Kuopio 2-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 10 Sep 2025

📅10/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.19
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.49
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
19.7
X/1
27%
3.84
X/2
5%
17.9
X/X
7%
8.0
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
5%
14.75
2/X
11%
22.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 14%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.08/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.44
+13% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jaro
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.88 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 Passes 268
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
19.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
08.02.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
09.03.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro Jaro HAZ
04.10.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2-0
AWAY Jaro
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of Jaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 56% of the ball to Jaro's 44%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.50 for Jaro.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

KuPS Kuopio 2-0 Jaro in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 64%, draw 22%, Jaro 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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