Jaro 1-3 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
60%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
20%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.89
1/2
11%
19.5
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
6%
9.68
X/2
18%
4.4
X/X
11%
6.19
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.07
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
22%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.7pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 60%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.15/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.03
-16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
21.6 Crosses 21.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.16 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
08.02.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
09.03.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro Jaro HAZ
04.10.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.07.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-3
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.93 xG 2.64
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 13
259 Passes 493
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
6 Box Touches 55
19 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaro vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio saw off Jaro 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jaro had 37% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 63%, shots finished 4-28, expected goals 0.93 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 1.50 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Jaro vs KuPS Kuopio?

Jaro 1-3 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Jaro 17%, draw 24%, KuPS Kuopio 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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