KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.54/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.60
-21% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +94%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.5 Crosses 10.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
09.03.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro Jaro HAZ
04.10.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.07.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-3 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
19.09.2014 Jaro Jaro 3-2 HT 3-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-0
AWAY Jaro
1.11 xG 2.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
474 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio squeezed past Jaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 61% of the ball to Jaro's 39%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.11 to 2.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Jaro.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.33 for Jaro.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

KuPS Kuopio 1-0 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 51%, draw 27%, Jaro 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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