Haka 2-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Apr 2025

Haka
2-1 HT 0-1
Oulu
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.92
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
16%
6.0
X/2
17%
5.8
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
9%
3.72
2/X
12%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.38/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.37
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.3 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Oulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
309 Passes 360
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
24.05.2024 Haka Haka 4-3 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.01.2024 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
21.10.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
01.07.2023 Oulu Oulu 3-0 HT 3-0 Haka Haka FİN
31.05.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
2-1
AWAY Oulu
0.93 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haka vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka nicked a narrow win over Oulu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Haka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 56% of the ball to Oulu's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haka and 1.33 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Haka vs Oulu?

Haka 2-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haka 37%, draw 28%, Oulu 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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