IFK Mariehamn 1-2 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.46
1/2
9%
22.0
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
6%
9.64
X/2
17%
4.32
X/X
13%
5.53
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.19
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 59%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
0.83/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.65
-23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 87%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
14.9 Crosses 25.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-0D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.43 xG 1.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
232 Passes 472
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-4 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
31.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.08.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
11.06.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
11.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 2-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
21.05.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1-2
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.62 xG 1.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
247 Passes 502
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 39
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki squeezed past IFK Mariehamn 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 36% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 64%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.62 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs SJK Seinajoki?

IFK Mariehamn 1-2 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 25%, draw 27%, SJK Seinajoki 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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