IFK Mariehamn 0-4 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.77
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
9%
8.83
X/2
15%
4.11
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.32
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.94/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.41
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +135%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
15.2 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-0D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.49 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
235 Passes 476
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.08.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
11.06.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
11.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 2-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
21.05.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
30.06.2021 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-4
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.25 xG 3.16
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
222 Passes 458
75% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 41
5 Crosses 47
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki ran out comfortable winners over IFK Mariehamn 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 36% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 64%, shots finished 3-25, expected goals 0.25 to 3.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.50 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs SJK Seinajoki?

IFK Mariehamn 0-4 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 28%, draw 27%, SJK Seinajoki 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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