VPS 0-2 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Apr 2025

VPS
0-2 HT 0-1
Inter Turku
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

VPS vs Inter Turku Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.25
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.42
X/2
10%
5.45
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
2/2
24%
3.3
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VPS v Inter Turku — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
+22% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
18.4 Crosses 24.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

VPS vs Inter Turku Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Inter Turku
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
318 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.06.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 2-0 VPS VPS FİN
27.05.2024 VPS VPS 3-1 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
29.09.2023 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
12.07.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
01.07.2023 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
19.10.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-5 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN

VPS 0-2 Inter Turku — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
0-2
AWAY Inter Turku
1.72 xG 1.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
262 Passes 376
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku got the better of VPS 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Inter Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, VPS had 43% of the ball to Inter Turku's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.72 to 1.23 — on chances, VPS could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for VPS and 1.00 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of VPS vs Inter Turku?

VPS 0-2 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split VPS 38%, draw 23%, Inter Turku 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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