KTP Kotka 0-5 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 Apr 2025

KTP Kotka
0-5 HT 0-1
Ilves Tampere
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

KTP Kotka vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.7 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.1
1/2
13%
20.7
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
9%
9.81
X/2
16%
4.52
X/X
10%
5.98
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.16
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KTP Kotka v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 58%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.93/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.18
-28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
15.3 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

KTP Kotka vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
333 Passes 290
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
08.07.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
29.04.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
30.06.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
28.05.2021 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
16.06.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-4 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİK

KTP Kotka 0-5 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
0-5
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.95 xG 2.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere cruised past KTP Kotka 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 47% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 53%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.95 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs Ilves Tampere?

KTP Kotka 0-5 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 26%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere)
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