Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Copa Sudamericana, 10 Sep 2026

📅10/09/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 425
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2026 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.09.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
17.04.2025 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
27.08.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
23.04.2023 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
06.10.2022 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
PREVIEW Santos vs Atletico Mineiro
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Santos in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Santos's last 5 home league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Santos against 0.83 for Atletico Mineiro.

Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Kick-off Time

Santos play Atletico Mineiro in the Copa Sudamericana on 10/09/2026, kick-off 01:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Santos vs Atletico Mineiro is a Santos win at about 44% probability, priced 2.19 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Santos 44%, draw 30%, Atletico Mineiro 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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