Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Santos v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santos 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Santos found just enough to beat Atletico Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Atletico Mineiro saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.28 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Santos against 1.00 for Atletico Mineiro.
Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Result & Final Score
Santos 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santos 45%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.