Mirassol FC 1-2 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Apr 2026

Mirassol FC
1 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Bahia
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.13
2-3
47%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.49
6+
5%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.06
1/2
2%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
16%
5.01
X/2
10%
6.67
X/X
17%
4.5
2/1 ✗
3%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.77
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 3% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Mirassol FC v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mirassol FC The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia The Market 33%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Bad
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bahia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
310 Passes 456
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 5-1 HT 3-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
13.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1

Mirassol FC 1-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1 - 2
AWAY Bahia
1.46 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
309 Passes 459
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mirassol FC vs Bahia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bahia came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mirassol FC 2-1 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Bahia saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.46 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.00 a game for Mirassol FC against 1.00 for Bahia.

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Result & Final Score

Mirassol FC 1 - 2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 45%, draw 28%, Bahia 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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