Mirassol FC 5-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Sep 2025

Mirassol FC
5 - 1 HT 3 - 0
Bahia
📅01/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.73
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.92
6+
4%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.21
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
10%
6.42
X/X
18%
4.13
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.78
2/X
6%
13.35
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Mirassol FC v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mirassol FC The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia The Market 33%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bahia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.59 xG 1.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
339 Passes 430
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 35
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1

Mirassol FC 5-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
5 - 1
AWAY Bahia
3.02 xG 0.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
280 Passes 482
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 11
REVIEW Mirassol FC vs Bahia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mirassol FC ran out comfortable winners over Bahia 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Bahia saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 3.02 to 0.87.

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Result & Final Score

Mirassol FC 5 - 1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mirassol FC vs Bahia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 43%, draw 30%, Bahia 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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