Vitoria 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Sep 2025

Vitoria
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro
📅01/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.56
Over
40%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.31
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.76
6+
3%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.02
1/2
3%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.41
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
22%
3.62
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
5%
13.05
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Vitoria v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vitoria The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro The Market 43%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
Great Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 458
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2025 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-2 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
05.10.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-2 HT 2-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
21.06.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 4-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
26.08.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
22.04.2018 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
25.09.2017 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-3 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1

Vitoria 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
1 - 0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.86 xG 0.64
29% Ball Possession 71%
14 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
164 Passes 468
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitoria came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico Mineiro 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (28% / 33% / 39%); Vitoria picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Atletico Mineiro saw more of the ball, 71% to 29%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.86 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Vitoria against 1.50 for Atletico Mineiro.

Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro Result & Final Score

Vitoria 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 28%, draw 33%, Atletico Mineiro 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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