Sport Recife 2-3 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.72
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.95
6+
4%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.43
1/2
2%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
19%
4.13
2/1
3%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.41
2/X
6%
13.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sport Recife The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-1 HT 2-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
16.10.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
03.07.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
14.11.2020 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-2 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.08.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-0 HT 2-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
21.10.2018 Sport Recife Sport Recife 2-1 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
2 - 3
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.65 xG 1.72
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
379 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vasco da Gama nicked a narrow win over Sport Recife 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

From a near-even 39% / 31% / 30% read, it was Vasco da Gama who turned the coin-flip their way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.

The match data tells the story: Sport Recife had 55% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 45%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.65 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sport Recife and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.

Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score

Sport Recife 2 - 3 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 39%, draw 31%, Vasco da Gama 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sport Recife), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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