Corinthians 1-1 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Sep 2025

Corinthians
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Palmeiras
📅01/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.48
Over
36%
2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.06
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
14%
5.61
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.81
1/2
2%
33.0
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
10%
6.65
X/2
18%
4.38
X/X
22%
3.56
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.1
2/X
5%
14.8
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Corinthians v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Corinthians The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras The Market 48%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.95 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2

Corinthians vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.08.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
31.07.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BRK
13.04.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
05.11.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
02.07.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
19.02.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-2 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU

Corinthians 1-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1 - 1
AWAY Palmeiras
0.34 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
228 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Corinthians vs Palmeiras
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Corinthians and Palmeiras with a point apiece.

We leaned Palmeiras at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (64%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.

Under the surface, Corinthians had 42% of the ball to Palmeiras's 58%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.34 to 2.18.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Corinthians and 1.00 for Palmeiras.

Corinthians vs Palmeiras Result & Final Score

Corinthians 1 - 1 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Corinthians vs Palmeiras Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 24%, draw 31%, Palmeiras 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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