Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
Palmeiras 0-2 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians got the better of Palmeiras 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Palmeiras had 54% of the ball to Corinthians's 46%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Palmeiras 0-2 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 51%, draw 28%, Corinthians 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.