Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 45%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.11
+150% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
Crosses 15.2
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
362 Passes 358
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
10.11.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
03.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
04.07.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-4 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
30.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.18 xG 2.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
347 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo edged past Atletico Mineiro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Flamengo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 47% of the ball to Flamengo's 53%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.18 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.50 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 29%, draw 31%, Flamengo 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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