Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.99
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
16%
5.57
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
11%
3.97
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.87/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.85
-18% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
Crosses 13.4
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Botafogo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 2-0 Bragantino BRK
12.04.2025 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.10.2024 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
14.03.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
07.03.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-1
AWAY Botafogo
0.41 xG 0.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
374 Passes 365
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bragantino had 51% of the ball to Botafogo's 49%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.41 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Botafogo?

Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Cup on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 39%, draw 27%, Botafogo 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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