Botafogo 2-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.32/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
-39% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.9 Crosses 21.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.10.2024 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
14.03.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
07.03.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino LKU
12.11.2023 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
2-0
AWAY Bragantino
1.36 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
388 Passes 421
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo saw off Bragantino 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo had 49% of the ball to Bragantino's 51%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 1.00 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Bragantino?

Botafogo 2-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Cup on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 51%, draw 28%, Bragantino 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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