Botafogo 2-2 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Apr 2026

Botafogo
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Coritiba
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.59
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.19
6+
4%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.52
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
19%
4.23
X/2
9%
8.13
X/X
18%
4.22
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
10%
6.85
2/X
5%
15.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Botafogo The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.29 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
337 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.11.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
30.07.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 4-1 HT 3-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
18.09.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
29.05.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
28.08.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR2
06.06.2021 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
2 - 2
AWAY Coritiba
2.46 xG 1.59
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
413 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 15
39 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Botafogo vs Coritiba
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Botafogo and Coritiba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Botafogo's favour, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.46 to 1.59.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Botafogo against 0.50 for Coritiba.

Botafogo vs Coritiba Result & Final Score

Botafogo 2 - 2 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Botafogo vs Coritiba Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 52%, draw 28%, Coritiba 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
12 Apr 2026
00:30 Mirassol FC vs Bahia Analysis →
02:00 Santos vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
02:30 Internacional vs Gremio Analysis →
17:00 Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Analysis →