Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Apr 2026

Atletico Paranaense
2 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Chapecoense
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.38
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.27
6+
6%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.84
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.35
X/1
22%
3.86
X/2
5%
12.1
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
6%
10.3
2/X
4%
18.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Paranaense The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.90 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2025 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2
09.05.2025 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
14.10.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
28.06.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 1-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
30.09.2019 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
05.05.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1

Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2 - 0
AWAY Chapecoense
1.31 xG 0.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
357 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 6
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense got the better of Chapecoense 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Atletico Paranaense had 58% of the ball to Chapecoense's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.31 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.33 for Chapecoense.

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Result & Final Score

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 68%, draw 19%, Chapecoense 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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