Santos 2-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
5.15
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.61
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
12%
5.0
X/2
12%
5.94
X/X
15%
3.92
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
13%
4.7
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.13
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.9 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.53
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.08.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
23.04.2023 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
06.10.2022 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
12.06.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
14.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
28.06.2021 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
2-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.75 xG 0.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
244 Passes 468
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos got the better of Atletico Mineiro 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Santos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santos had 36% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 64%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.75 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santos and 1.33 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Santos vs Atletico Mineiro?

Santos 2-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santos 37%, draw 31%, Atletico Mineiro 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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