Uganda Police vs UPDF Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uganda - Premier League, 10 Sep 2026

📅10/09/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.65
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
15%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
3W-2D-0L
AWAY UPDF
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2026 Uganda Police Uganda Police 2-0 HT 1-0 UPDF UPDF UGA
06.11.2025 UPDF UPDF 1-2 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
27.11.2024 UPDF UPDF 2-2 HT 1-2 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
10.02.2022 Uganda Police Uganda Police 2-2 HT 0-2 UPDF UPDF UGA
04.01.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-1 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
PREVIEW Uganda Police vs UPDF
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Everything in the data leans Uganda Police's way at home, though favourites lose football matches every week.

Both teams have scored in just 1 of Uganda Police's last 5 home league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uganda Police have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.80 a game for Uganda Police against 1.00 for UPDF.

Uganda Police vs UPDF Kick-off Time

Uganda Police play UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/09/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Uganda Police vs UPDF Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Uganda Police vs UPDF is a Uganda Police win at about 60% probability, priced 1.65 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Uganda Police 60%, draw 25%, UPDF 15%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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