Newport City 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.05/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.19
-2% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +74%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.11.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 HT 0-1 Newport City Newport City GALFAW
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City and Trethomas Bluebirds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newport City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Newport City 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Newport City 52%, draw 24%, Trethomas Bluebirds 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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