Ammanford 1-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Oct 2025

Ammanford
1-1 HT 1-0
Carmarthen Town
📅10/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ammanford v Carmarthen Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.10/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.79
-33% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
296 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
The Meetings
01.01.2025 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
23.08.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 2-3 HT 1-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
20.01.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
06.10.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
27.12.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 0-4 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford and Carmarthen Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ammanford and 2.33 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town?

Ammanford 1-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 34%, draw 23%, Carmarthen Town 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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