Coruxo 0-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.08/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.87
+12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
229 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coruxo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pontevedra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-1 HT 3-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
08.10.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 0-2 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
20.03.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-2 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
31.10.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 2-1 HT 0-1 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
14.03.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 2-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS3
13.12.2020 Coruxo Coruxo 3-0 HT 2-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
0-1
AWAY Pontevedra
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra edged past Coruxo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coruxo had 43% of the ball to Pontevedra's 57%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontevedra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coruxo and 2.00 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs Pontevedra?

Coruxo 0-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 30%, draw 29%, Pontevedra 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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